Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.348447 1.673739 2.106883 2.750727 3.732998 5.275697 8.143859
2025-09-07 0.964835 1.318661 1.871598 2.889146 4.994822 10.218446 32.458784
2025-09-14 0.758123 1.094787 1.674002 2.903260 6.130085 18.855412 309.836028
2025-09-21 0.623151 0.931242 1.495067 2.815267 6.984968 33.292996 NaN
2025-09-28 0.536054 0.822639 1.373419 2.773483 8.020166 67.464069 NaN
2025-10-05 0.497857 0.790050 1.388264 3.089550 11.394261 492.189630 NaN
2025-10-12 0.457878 0.744369 1.358922 3.267040 15.091196 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.415812 0.686218 1.283646 3.249226 17.792308 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.376390 0.626952 1.190829 3.116261 19.241809 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.352158 0.595174 1.158229 3.200657 24.563924 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.334473 0.574326 1.148266 3.379977 34.752211 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.313270 0.542926 1.103039 3.375315 42.700588 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.289822 0.504549 1.033133 3.223113 45.654830 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.277740 0.490016 1.027328 3.402303 72.010245 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.263047 0.467822 0.994962 3.420999 98.245666 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.247158 0.441248 0.944940 3.309254 112.616605 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.234150 0.420083 0.907680 3.256293 142.034135 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.230750 0.420840 0.937257 3.659371 563.766088 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.224105 0.413129 0.938795 3.887980 3938.784384 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.214308 0.396853 0.909550 3.864963 34201.089857 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.203336 0.376849 0.865071 3.693674 78066.438744 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.196925 0.367504 0.854876 3.802292 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.192340 0.362235 0.857614 4.034267 NaN NaN NaN